Wednesday, July 2, 2014

Big 10 Preview & Predictions

East

1. Ohio State

            Ohio State was probably the most disappointed team in all of college football last year. Going into the Big 10 title game, Ohio State had their eye on the national title game before falling to Sparty of Michigan State. Then came the bowl loss to Clemson in which the Buckeyes did not resemble anything near a national title team. But this year Ohio State looks to redeem their late season losses and make a bid for the playoff. The schedule is a little tougher by Ohio State standards, but the Buckeyes avoid playing the Big 10 West contenders Wisconsin, Iowa and Northwestern. 


2. Michigan State

            Most College Football Preview magazines say that they want to place Michigan State above Ohio State in the East division but for whatever the reason they, and as in they I mean the experts, cannot do so. Michigan State has one of the best defenses in the country, an experienced quarterback and one of the most underrated coaches in the country in Mike Dantonio. But I think the “it” factor that Ohio State has and Michigan State does not is the pedigree. If Michigan State can beat Ohio State again this year, and win another Big 10 title, perhaps next year people will take them a little more serious.  


3. Michigan

            Remember the days when Michigan, just based on pedigree was projected to be 1 or 2 atop the Big 10? You know what is sad? Not so much that Michigan is not projected to finish near the top of the Big 10, but that their pedigree is all but vanished. The defense should be better, but the offensive line will be much worse due to the additions and subtractions. Once you do the math, you realize that Michigan will be left out of the Big 10 title picture once again.


4. Penn State

            James Franklin takes over a Nittney Lion program that has was resurrected by Bill O’Brien after the Paterno scandal, but now Penn State fans are reverting back to their old ways under Paterno…expecting Big 10 titles. Penn State most likely will not get back to that status this year but fans in Happy Valley have something to truly be happy about…a very promising future.


5. Maryland

            Despite their first year entry into the Big 10, many experts have Maryland being a ‘darkhorse’ in this division. Randy Edsal has an extremely talented team moving in the right direction but unfortunately draw a rough Big 10 schedule. Maryland travels to Indiana before playing back to back home games against Ohio State and Iowa then goes back on the road to play Wisconsin and Penn State. After the November 8th bye week, Maryland plays Michigan State then travels to Ann Arbor to play Michigan before ending their season against Rutgers. Maryland could have enough talent to upset one of the better Big 10 teams, but winning 2 games in the conference is a more realistic schedule.


6. Indiana

            Indiana has a lot of fire-power on offense with Telvin Coleman running behind one of the better offensive lines in the conference. But Indiana plays a fast pace tempo which scores quick but unfortunately that means their defense is on the field a lot and the Hoosier defense is not good. This past season Indiana has recruited very good defensive players however not enough to help this season.


7. Rutgers

            Much like Maryland, Rutgers has a few bright spots on both sides of the ball which will not make the Scarlet Knights an easy out in any game but unfortunately not enough to win many games.



West

1. Iowa

            This will be my surprise team of the Big 10, which in the past has been a death sentence but this year I feel fairly good about it. There is no clear-cut favorite in the West this year as every team has a plethora of issues to deal with. Iowa I feel has the least issues out of all the teams in the West. While they are not explosive on offense as say Nebraska or Illinois can be on offense, and their defense is not as dominate as Wisconsin could be, Iowa is good enough on both sides of the ball to win 10 games. They avoid Ohio State, Michigan State and Michigan and they get Northwestern, Wisconsin, and Nebraska at home. The schedule is favorable enough for Iowa to play their mistake-free football, and manage their way to the West title.


2. Wisconsin

            You can be assured of a few things in life; death, taxes, and Wisconsin having a great running game. This year is no different as Melvin Ingram looks to fall in line of a staple of great running backs in Badger history. The real questions that remain is whichever quarterback Wisconsin settles on Joel Stave or Tanner McEvoy and will the re-built defense no operating in a 3-4 format be able to hold the more potent offenses. 


3. Minnesota

            Minnesota gets better and better every year. Just three seasons ago Minnesota was the doormat of the conference and just last year Minnesota won 8 games, 4 in the Big 10 against the likes of Northwestern, Nebraska, Indiana and Penn State (didn’t exactly play Purdue 4 times). Now Minnesota looks to take another step forward and they do so with a un-appreciated offense and an even under-appreciated defense (despite the loss of Rashede Hageman). Look for the Golden Gophers to win another four games in the conference. It hasn’t been this exciting in Minnesota since the departure of Hayden Fox (Coach was a great show!).


4. Nebraska

            Last year Northwestern was my surprise pick in the Big 10. And last year it was surprising just how awful they were. But while I thought Northwestern was going to do big things on the field, Northwestern ended up doing big things off the field. The Union Vote took the headlines a year ago will go down as historic moment in sports history but the Wildcats look to make an impact on the field this season. Pat Fitzgerald is still one of the underrated coaches in the country and he has weapons on the offense to make noise again in the Big 10.  The Wildcats will upset a team or two on their way back to a bowl game.


5. Nebraska

            Every year it appears that Nebraska is primed to become a major power in the Big 10 and year after year, they do not. Gone is Taylor Martinez, but Ameer Abdullah and Kenny Bell return to what should be an above average offense. But defensively Nebraska ranks in the middle of the pack (average 24.5 ppg allowed). It also seems every year Nebraska loses 3 or more games in the Big 10 (its because they do) and this year they have to travel to Michigan State, Northwestern, Wisconsin and Iowa. Bo Pellini better re-format his resume.


6. Illinois

            Everyone wants to try to find something positive in this Illinois program. But they are still terrible.


7. Purdue

            Purdue is a lot like Illinois, except there is nothing positive about this program, and nobody attempts to say that there is.




Games To Watch

1 Michigan State vs. Ohio State

This game will decide the winner of the Big 10 East and possibly who will win a playoff berth in January. This should be one of the more highly entertaining games to watch this year, as Spartan Stadium is one of the most underrated venues in all of college football. East Lansing will be rocking for this one as Michigan State and Ohio State try to recreate the magic from last year’s title game. While many assume Ohio State will enact revenge on Sparty, has anyone truly considered how the landscape of the conference could shift if Michigan State wins again?


2Iowa vs. Wisconsin

While the MSU/Ohio State game will decide the East, the Iowa/Wisconsin game should decide the West. While this matchup will not provide the same national title implications, it should prove to be a classic Big 10 affair where both teams play rough, hard-noised brand of football that our elders still get excited about.


3Michigan State vs. Michigan

Michigan State’s tune up game for Ohio State will be trying to defeat the Wolverines 5th time in the last 6 years. It has not been much of a rivalry during that time, but the battle for the Paul Bunyan trophy will be on the line and with that illustrious hardware on the line expect a good game between the in-state foes. But if Michigan State looks past Michigan to the bye week and Ohio State the week after, Michigan could sneak up and instantly be in play of the East crown.



Big Ten Championship: Ohio State vs. Iowa


            If Ohio State returns to the Big 10 title game expect them to finish the job this time around. While Iowa will play the “it’s just great to be nominated” card, Ohio State should have little problem dispatching their West opponent. This would most likely be the least entertaining conference title game that will be offered. But Ohio State could do without the drama.

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